Rogers' 10* Top Final Four TOTALS TICKET >> Won Elite 8 Version!
(NCAAB) South Carolina vs. Gonzaga, 04/01/2017 2:09 PM, Score: 73 - 77
Total: 138.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: Gonzaga has often been viewed as "the little school that could" over the last two decades but in the school's first-ever Final 4 game, the 36-1 Bulldogs are the West's No. 1 seed and face the lone true underdog remaining in the field, the 26-10 and 7th-seeded South Carolina Gamecocks. Gonzaga is 1-2-1 ATS in reaching the Final 4 while South Carolina is a perfect 4-0 ATS. The Gamecocks opened by routing Marquette 93-73 as a one-point favorite and then have knocked off the West's No. 2 (Duke), No. 3 (Baylor) and No. 4 seeds (Florida), each time as an underdog.

South Carolina: The Gamecocks have thrived behind high-scoring senior guard Sindarius Thornwell (25.6 PPG and 7.5 RPG in four NCAA wins) and some hellacious wear-you-down defense. Thornwell (21.6 & 7.2 on the season) may have been the SEC player-of-the-year but he was widely unknown prior to this year's Big Dance. That's no longer the case and he's aided by a pair of workman-like guards in Dozier (13.8 & 4.7) and Notice (10.2). South Carolina's frontcourt is suspect, although the 6-9 Silva (10.1 & 5.9) has been a stud in the team's four wins, averaging 13.0 & 7.8. However, the 6-10 Kotsar (5.9 & 4.8) hasn't added much. The key has been a defense which has held Duke to 41.5% shooting, Baylor to 30.4% and Florida to 41.7%. Fiery South Carolina head coach Frank Martin says, "Our inside play has gotten good again. It kind of disappeared on us there the last month of the season. But our inside guys have played well in the NCAA Tournament." That frontcourt will be tested by Gonzaga's big men.

Gonzaga: Williams-Goss (16.7-5.9-4.6) gets sold help on the perimeter from Mathews (12.2 & 5.8) and Perkins (8.2). Then there is Gonzaga's big men, starters like the 7-foot, 300-pound Przemek Karnowski (12.2 & 5.8) and the 6-9 Williams (10.3 & 6.6), who averaged 16.0 & 7.0 in Sweet 16 and Elite 8 wins. Throw in 7-0 freshman Collins (9.9 & 5.7) coming off the bench and it's easy to see the challenge facing South Carolina. Gonzaga averages 83.2 PPG (14th) on 50.9% shooting (2nd) and sometimes the team's defense is overlooked. However, Gonzaga enters allowing 60.9 PPG (5th) on 36.4% shooting (1st). Gonzaga ranks No. 1 overall in defensive efficiency!

The pick: South Carolina has forced an average of 17 turnovers in four NCAA Tournament games and has outscored every opponent in the second half by an average of 13he points. The Gamecocks defense will put a lot of pressure on Williams-Goss but is there any reason to believe that he's not up to the challenge? Gonzaga shoots 50.9% from the floor with great balance on offense (inside and out) plus holds opponents to 36.4 percent. That's quite a 'daily double.' West Va. averaged 81.5 PPG this season but was held to 59 by Gonzaga in the Sweet 16 and Xavier averaged 74.6 PPG on the year but was held to 58 in the Elite 8 game. South Carolina will struggle to score but its defense will definitely "show up" Gonzaga gets its toughest test to-date and "the Zags" just may be tight. Make the Under a 10* play.