The Cleveland Cavaliers are coming into Game 3 at home as a big favorite after winning the first two games of this series in Atlanta. I am not ready to write the Hawks off just yet, and I think we'll see them push back here in this game, at least in the first half.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - Not only did the Hawks win the season series (3-1), they've won eight of the last 12 overall, and they have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 trips to Cleveland.

2. Injuries - The Cavs "Big Three" is down to just one, as both Kevin Love and Kyrie Irving are sidelined by injuries. While Love is done for the year, Irving missed two of the last three games, and is doubtful to return tonight. Cleveland has relied on big games from players off the bench, but we have to wonder how long that will continue.

3. X-Factor - The Cavs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Hawks (10*)