The set-up:The Baltimore Orioles' playoff hopes are fading with five losses in their last seven games. Baltimore is now four games behind Toronto in the AL East at 72-61, two games back of Boston for the No. 1 wild card spot and tied with Detroit for the final wild card spot, just one game up on Houston and 2 1/2 up on the NY Yankees. Those 69-63 Yankees are hoping to get back into the postseason race with this weekend's a three-game series at Camden Yards. Despite unloading a bevy of key players at the trade deadline, the New York Yankees have won six of eight and have clearly not "given up."

The pitching matchup: Chad Green (2-3, 4.09 ERA) starts for the Yankees and Dylan Bundy (7-5, 3.71 ERA) takes the mound for the Orioles. Green escaped with a no-decision against the Orioles his last time out (Saturday), allowing four runs on seven hits (three HRs) in just 4 2/3 innings. However, he had pitched well in his two previous starts, allowing just one earned run on seven hits over 12 innings. Dylan Bundy (7-5, 3.71) has pitched fairly very well since joining the rotation in mid-July, although he's had trouble in two of his last three outings.

The pick: Bundy is 3-2 with a 3.04 ERA in 16 appearances (five starts) at Camden Yards this season and despite some recent woes, the Orioles are 43-24 (plus-$1523) at home on the year. Baltimore is a 10* play.