The Dodgers have lost three of the last four games started by Clayton Kershaw, despite the ace having a 1.64 ERA in those contests. I expect Kershaw to pitch well again here and get the run support he needs. The Dodgers have scored eight runs in each of the first two games of this series, and Reds rookie starter Hunter Greene has a 4.91 ERA at home and has allowed 17 home runs overall which is the second most allowed by any pitcher this season. The Reds have allowed an average of 6.8 runs over their last six games and have a bullpen that ranks dead-last in MLB with a 5.21 ERA over the entire season.

With Kershaw having a 3-0 record and 0.96 ERA in his last four games against the Reds, I see the Dodgers cruising to another win Thursday and covering the runline.