The New York Mets are just 13-24 at home on the season, but right-hander Seth Lugo (2-2, 2.85 ERA) can't be blamed for the poor results as he's 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA in 13 games (two starts) at home this season.

I like the Mets to pick up a win here, hosting a Pirates team heading to New York on a five-game losing streak during which they've scored a total of just eight runs. The Mets may have dropped six in a row, but they have at least been productive at the plate during the slide with 32 runs scored for a 5.33 rpg average during that span.

Pittsburgh righty Jameson Taillon (4-6, 4.03 ERA) was tagged with three runs on seven hits and a walk across five innings of a 3-2 loss to the Brewers his last time out. He's served up a homer in three straight starts.

Mets are 13-3 in Lugo's last 16 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 9-3 in his last 12 home starts.

Free pick on NY Mets.

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