The Philadelphia Phillies dropped two of three at the Miami Marlins over the weekend, very disappointing results considering that they're in a tight race for the wild cards in the National League and need all wins they can get. The Phillies now return home where they're 38-28 on the season, and I expect them to put on a show for the crowd against in-state rival Pittsburgh Pirates at Citizens Bank Park Monday night.

Philly surely must like its chances of scoring plenty of runs off Pittsburgh righty Joe Musgrove (8-12, 4.74 ERA) who has been lit up for 17 runs over his last four starts (7.71 ERA). Left-hander Jason Vargas (6-6, 3.99 ERA) will toe the rubber for the home team. He has made four starts since coming over from the Mets allowing two runs in three of them.

The Phillies are 12-5 in their last 17 games following a loss. The Pirates are 6-20 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning record and 2-8 in the last 10 meetings with Philadelphia.

Free pick on Philadelphia Phillies.

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