Wise Guy
(NBA) Atlanta vs. Indiana,
Point Spread: 7.50 | -104.00 Atlanta (Away)
Result: Win
Atlanta beat Indiana twice this season, including their most recent meeting, on April 6, when the Hawks held the Pacers to a franchise-low 23 points in the first half. The Hawks also enter the postseason the hotter of the two teams, winning seven of their last 10 games, including victories over the Heat and Pacers.

Atlanta can push the tempo to challenge Indiana, something it has done with success in the past. The Pacers Ranked 29th offensively after the All-Star break (ahead of only the Sixers), scoring just 100.2 points per 100 possessions.

Their starting lineup played 1,468 minutes together, more than any other lineup in the league. Squares will assume that this is good, but sharps know they have no upside and it showed in their fantastic start and sputtering finish.

Opponents shot 41.4 percent at the rim when Roy Hibbert was defending it. That is the lowest mark among players defended at least five shots at the rim per game over 50 games.

Pero Antic has the skills to take Hibbert out of his comfort zone and away from the basket. The Hawks won both games Antic played in against the Pacers and saw the sweet-shooting center average 17 points, his highest mark against any team. Hibbert shooting just 29.3 percent over his last 13 games. When one is struggling at one end of the court, it so often affects him at the other end. With Hibbert having to come away from the rim on the defensive end and struggling on offense, this will be a disaster for him.

In four games against the Hawks this season, he averaged season lows of 21.7 minutes, five points and 28.1 percent shooting.

Atlanta outscored their opponents by 3.4 points per 100 possessions with DeMarre Carroll on the floor and were outscored by 6.5 with Carroll on the bench. But the benches get shorter in the postseason, so that is good news for the Hawks.