When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game after allowing eight or more runs they are 703-536, +113.4 units.

Go against a starting pitcher who gives up .5 or fewer home runs per start, after a game in which the bullpen gave up four or more earned runs is 917-831, +98.8 units. That is two very substantial systems that do not overlap supporting this same winner.

Toronto has won 3-of-4 while the Orioles have lost 3-of-4. Toronto has beaten Chris Tillman in three straight all as underdogs. Baltimore has lost to Dustin McGowan three straight