As we have proven, the so called NBA zig-zag theory is a virtual wash. It is above .500 long-term but a slight loss with the juice. However, various bounce back angles which take several other factors into consideration do win long-term. Home favorites of four or more off playoff loss are 128-91.

When a team fails by at least 15 points against the spread in a zig-zag situation, they are 95-73-1. Combine the two, when a home favorite of four or more is off a 15 point or more spread loss it is 36-13-1 for 73.5 percent.