Baltimore is 9-3 the last 12 and 11-4 the last 15. Toronto has lost four straight by 26-7. When a team has their odds at +/- 125 and an AL squad averaging 4.7 or fewer runs per game after allowing eight or more runs they are 747-574, +114.2 units. Baltimore has won five in a row with Chen. His ERA and WHIP is 2.53 and 1.06 in those five. In his last two he has given up one run including unearned in 15 1/3 IP allowing just 12 base runners. So his groove is getting better. Conversely Drew Hutchison last five has 8.10 and 1.89, slightly worse in his recent three at 8.75 and 1.86, at least in terms of WHIP with ERA about the same.

In their last five games Baltimore has a slugging percentage of .470 to .382. The Jays are 2-10 to left-handers.