The home team 3-0 straight up in Lions games. Since he came into the NFL we have told you that Matt Stafford will be a predictably unpredictable QB. Detroit 21 point win followed by a 17 point loss, then a 12 point win. They are now playing bad team. This is when they generally fall flat on their face.

Geno Smith has as compelling of QB home/road splits as any non-dome QB I can recall. Last year QB rating 73.5 at home, 59.3 road. It has continued in 2014 with 82.9 home, 64.1 road. Stafford, who is a dome QB, has a home QB rating of 92.5 to just 72.5 on the road.

With Chris Ivory and Chris Johnson, the Jets have a nice 1-2 punch running the ball. The idea of betting on Matt Stafford to play like Matt Stafford is just too tempting.