PREMIUM
Major
(NFL) Buffalo vs. NY Jets,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -102.00 NY Jets (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -3.00 | -102.00 NY Jets (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
The specific Performance Gap Analysis pick says that a team with a bad turnover ratio and a very inefficient defense based on yards per point has a big upside is 1172-976-45 with a z-score of 4.19.
This is a classic honeymoon period for Percy Harvin. Forget on whether he works out for the Jets long-term. The offensive weapon will have a chip on his shoulder and plenty to prove. He will be a huge addition. Three of the Bills four wins are by three or less, while all three losses are by six or more.
The big story is the strength of the Bills offense is their running game. Make that was. Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both out meaning Sammy Watkins is the only weapon on offense but no QB to throw it to him. Jets give their fans some false hope with a big win here.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
The specific Performance Gap Analysis pick says that a team with a bad turnover ratio and a very inefficient defense based on yards per point has a big upside is 1172-976-45 with a z-score of 4.19.
This is a classic honeymoon period for Percy Harvin. Forget on whether he works out for the Jets long-term. The offensive weapon will have a chip on his shoulder and plenty to prove. He will be a huge addition. Three of the Bills four wins are by three or less, while all three losses are by six or more.
The big story is the strength of the Bills offense is their running game. Make that was. Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are both out meaning Sammy Watkins is the only weapon on offense but no QB to throw it to him. Jets give their fans some false hope with a big win here.
