Wise Guy
(NCAAF) Ball State vs. Massachusetts,
Point Spread: -3.50 | -110.00 Massachusetts (Home)
Result: Win
UMass is a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams.

They are 2-7 straight up but 7-2 against the spread. This is for very good reason as they played a brutal non-conference schedule with Boston College, Colorado, Vanderbilt, and Penn State. They have covered all their conference games after that baptism by fire.

Now they have a chance to have all that pay off hosting a very beatable foe on ESPNU. Minuteman Blake Frohnapfel has developed statistically into one of the top quarterbacks in college football. The graduate student has tossed for 2,921 yards and 23 touchdowns in his first season orchestrating a passing attack that is ranked sixth in the nation.