Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is Portland -2. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves. Denver has the worst Margin of Cover in the NBA at -8.6.

Denver has lost five games in a row after opening the season with an 89-79 win over the Detroit Pistons. Portland has won 4-of-5 straight up and it a solid +3.7 in Margin of Cover. Yes they are playing back-to-back but adrenalin is the best cure for that and the fact they are red-hot cancels it out.