ASA FREE PLAY ON Houston +4 over Pittsburgh, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - We really like Pittsburgh this year but it’s going to take awhile for their offense to get in synch after QB Roethlisberger missed an entire year. He’s been decent in the first 2 games but still doesn’t look himself at times. While the Steelers are 2-0, they’ve struggled in those games facing 2 teams that have a combined 0-4 record this season – Giants & Broncos. Last week at home vs an undermanned Denver team, the Steelers barely held on to win despite the fact that Bronco starting QB Lock left early in the game and did not return. Here they get a Houston team that has easily played the toughest schedule in the NFL thus far losing to the Chiefs & Ravens, the 2 best teams in the NFL according to most power rankings. The Texans are now in desperation mode as going 0-3 to start the season would almost eliminate them from the playoffs historically speaking. This was a playoff team last year led by one of the top QB’s in the NFL, Deshaun Watson. Teams that start the season 0-2 SU are a money making 33-16 ATS in their 3rd game of the year dating back to 2014. During that same span, teams that start 2-0 SU are 21-26 ATS in their 3rd game and both fall in line with this game. Let’s not forget this is a Houston team that was in the playoffs last year fighting for their lives. Pittsburgh is taking a huge step up in competition here and didn’t look all that dominant in their first 2 games. This is a reverse line movement play which we like as not surprisingly over 60% of the wagers are on Pittsburgh but the line has dropped to -4. Pitt is just 4-10-1 ATS their last 15 games as a favorite and we’ll call for a close game here. The points are worth taking.

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