Tourney Topper CBB 10*
(NCAAB) Wright State vs. Northern Kentucky, 03/08/2022 7:00 PM, Score: 72 - 71
Total: 134.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
#613/614 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 134.5 Points – Wright State vs Northern Kentucky, Tuesday at 7 PM ET - This total opened at 138 and has dropped to 134.5 as of this writing. That gives us some very solid value on the Over here. These 2 met twice this year and the totals in those games were set at 145.5 and 139. In those 2 games the teams combined for 136 points and 146 points. NKY won both games. In both games Northern Kentucky averaged 1.06 PPP which is dead on with their seasonal conference average. Wright State, on the other hand, averaged just 0.91 PPP and 1.00 PPP in those 2 games which is WAY below their season average of 1.13 in conference play. That ranks the Raiders #1 in the Horizon in offensive efficiency and they rank #2 in the league scoring 77 PPG. They scored 63 and 71 points in their 2 meetings with NKY this season. The Raiders are also ranked 2nd in the conference making just under 47% of their shots and they made 37% and 40% in those 2 match ups. Northern Kentucky is solid defensively ranking 2nd in the league in efficiency (172nd nationally) and 3rd in eFG% allowed (148th nationally) but nowhere near a shut down type defense that should stymie the #1 offense in the league. WSU is one of the fastest paced teams in the conference and NKY one of the slowest, but they averaged 57.5 shot attempts each in their 2 meetings which is a decent amount. If N Kentucky puts up around 1.06 PPP again as they did in the first 2 meetings and Wright State performs just a bit better than they did, which would still be well below their average, this goes Over.