Day Game Total MLB 8*
(MLB) Atlanta vs. Philadelphia, 10/14/2022 4:37 PM, Score: 1 - 9
Total: 6.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
#961/962 ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 6.5 Runs – Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies, Friday at 4:35 PM ET - This total was sitting at 7.5 last night in anticipation of Morton starting for the Braves. They have since decided to start Spencer Strider and because of that the total dropped a full run to 6.5. Strider has been great this season but he hasn’t pitched in a month. He’s been on the DL and we can’t expect him to be at the top of his game in this one. His pitch count will also be limited in this game. On the season Strider had much better numbers at home compared to on the road where the Braves were just 7-7 in his 14 starts. Nola takes the hill for the Phillies. He’s off a very good outing @ St Louis in his only playoff start this year, however Atlanta has had solid success vs him this season as he allowed 4 or more earned runs in 3 of his 5 starts vs the Braves. These are 2 of the top offensive teams in baseball. They both rank in the top 9 in MLB in RPG, OPS, HR’s, and batting average. This is the lowest total set on a game between these 2 NL East rivals this season and we don’t think it’s warranted. Only 2 of their 10 meetings in Philly this year resulted in less than 8 total runs scored. They averaged 9.4 total runs per game this season when playing in Philadelphia. When playing at home this season (vs all teams), Philadelphia games averaged over 9 total runs. Weather looks good with temps in the mid 60s and light wind blowing out to right. We’ll take Over 6.5 in this one.