ASA Free Play Saturday CFB
(NCAAF) Miami-FL vs. Virginia Tech, 10/15/2022 12:30 PM, Score: 20 - 14
Total: 48.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
#125/126 ASA FREE PLAY ON OVER 48 points - Miami FL vs Virginia Tech, Saturday at 12:30 PM ET - Tech defense has decent overall numbers but they are down this year. Their first 3 games they looked great vs FCS opponent and 2 teams ranked outside the top 115 in total offense (ODU and BC). Once they started playing offenses with a pulse, the wheels fell off. The Hokies have allowed 33, 41, and 45 points their last 3 games. The Miami offense is averaging 33 PPG on the season and last week they put up 24 points on UNC but had 538 total yards which would normally equate to at least 35 points for an offense of average efficiency. The only defense that really shut the Canes down was an extremely talented Texas A&M stop unit. The VT offense has poor overall numbers on the season but did they turn the corner and gain some confidence? We think that might be the case as they put up over 400 yards and 29 pts last week vs Pitt who ranks 33rd in total D. The Hokies threw the ball more than they have all season last week (47 pass attempts) and will most likely go that same route this week vs a Miami defense that ranks 105th defending the pass. Similar to VT, the Miami defense looked good early in the season facing a FCS team and 2 offense ranked outside the top 110 in total offense but the last 2 games they’ve allowed 45 and 27 points. Last year the total on this game was 56 and they combined to score 64 points. Now just one year later we’re getting the total set a full 10 points lower and we like the value with that. Weather looks perfect with light winds and temps in the 70’s. Over is the call here.