"Keyser Soze" Killer Favorite Play
(NCAAF) Troy vs. WKU, 10/01/2022 7:00 PM, Score: 34 - 27
Point Spread: -5.00 | -110.00 WKU (Home)
Result: Loss
The Troy Trojans go on the road to take on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Saturday afternoon. Troy took care of Marshall 16-7 as a 3.5-point underdog. Western Kentucky pounded FIU 73-0 as a 31-point favorite. line, in their previous contest last Saturday. These teams have met seven times with Troy taking five of them, including a 32-26 road victory in 2013.
The Trojans are 2-2 overall and 1-1 in conference play. This season, the Trojans are ranked 10th in passing offense with 343.3 yards a game and 126th in rushing with 66 yards a game. Troy is 105th in scoring offense with 23 points a game. They give up 21 points a game, which ranks 49th.

Western Kentucky is 3-1 on the season overall and 1-0 in Conference USA. The Hilltoppers are 11th in the nation in passing with 340 yards a game and are 62nd in rushing with 168.8 yards a game. They rank seventh in scoring offense with 47.5 points and they allow 19.3 points, good for 39th in scoring defense.

Both of these teams rely on the passing game to generate their offense. Both offenses have been playing outstanding and both defenses have stepped it up as of late, Troy is 0-2 on the road and has been outscored 60-38 in those games. Western Kentucky is 2-0 at home having outscored the opposition 111-27 in those games. The Hilltoppers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Trojans are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs a team with a winning record and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Troy is rushing for just 66 rushing yards a game while Western Kentucky is putting up 168 rushing yards a game. The team that can run the ball better will have an advantage and that appears to be Western Kentucky and they'll have the home field advantage. I expect them to come away with a win and cover.

Play on Western Kentucky.