I think this line is a bit too high. The Big 10 is going to 20 conference games next season so they wanted to acclimate their teams by starting the conference schedule this past week. Purdue is off wins against Arizona and Louisville then they won at Maryland before a non-cover win against Northwestern. Valpo now an in-state ‘Little Brother' that is 8-0 this season, and while they have played a fairly weak schedule they have held those opponents to 34% from 2pt and 25% from 3pt land.
I'll back Valpo behind their defense to stay within 16 pts.