The Pirates are sitting atop of the NL Central and the Pirates have outscored their opponents by 32 runs in 2018 and they've been getting stronger as the season progresses. The Pirates have won eight of 10 and are an impressive 15-6 at home this season. The Padres offense is just so poor, I think they'll struggle to score runs here.

Pittsburgh is 6-1 in home starts by Ivan Nova against losing teams, and 7-3 in his past 10 home outings overall. Lastly, San Diego had to travel and is just 4-10 in its past 14 Friday games.