New Mexico @ Boise State 11:30 PM ET
Game# 789-790
Play On: Boise State -115 (ML)

I’m fully aware that New Mexico need this game much more when considering they’re clearly a bubble team when it comes to the NCAA Tournament. While barring something unforeseen, Boise State is thought to be a lock to receive an at-large bid regardless of tonight’s result. However, one thing I leaned over the years when it comes to sports betting, just because a team needs a game more than their opponent, doesn’t come close to assuring them a win. This matchup will be a textbook example of such. When you look at the analytical data Boise State is clearly the better team in this contest. This is a battle tested team Broncos team that not only excelled in conference play but also face the 25th most difficult non-conference schedule in all of college basketball. They also beat New Mexico in both regular season matchups by 8 and 10-points respectively. This is one I’m not going to cost myself by overthinking the process. Give me Boise State.