This Utah State team is not as bad as they look, they only lost to Iowa by 10 points and their defense held up much better. They also played a really good FCS school in Idaho State and put up 78 points so their offense has improved from last season. QB Cooper Legas is a duel threat quaterback and he will be a factor in this game. Head to head, this team has also beat Air Force the last two times they played. With the new rules, AF cannot use the option, and we saw that struggle when they played a good Sam Houston team that has a great defense. They held AF to 13 points. Utah State should be able to score on this AF team and their defense should hold up in this game. Both play in altitude so there is no advantage there for either, but this game will be a lot closer than most think. After a win by 17 or more points Utah State is 5-2 ATS in the last three seasons. Take the points.

Utah State are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference. Air Force are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home. Air Force are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Mountain Division division. At Air Force, Utah ST is 1-0 against the spread versus Air Force over the last 3 seasons. Utah ST is 2-0 against the spread versus Air Force over the last 3 seasons. Utah State as a road underdog ar 6-3 ATS in the last three seasons.

Best bet: take the points with Utah State.