Sam Houston lost their coach and half their team, but have replaced their coach with a past Offensive Coordinator who coached several years ago so the school is familiar with this coach. They will be playing for their first ever Bowl Game so the motivation is going to be on Sam Houston State's side. Georgia Southern will be trying in their fourth Bowl game and haven’t won any. Sam Houston will have some of their transfers playing in this game so their defense should keep this game close enough to cover this spread. GASO defense has been underwhelming this season and that will help SH stay close. Georgia Southern is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Thursday when playing on the road and they are 0-2 ATS as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less in the last two seasons. This team is also 1-5 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest in the last two seasons. Sam Houston State is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing as the underdog and 2-0 ATS as a neutral field underdog in the last two seasons.

Best bet: take the points with Sam Houston State.