Boston (2nd in adjusted defensive rating) can corral Pacers G Tyrese Haliburton and prefers to slow down the pace (20th in the NBA). In the three previous games between these teams, the Pacers have scored 104, 122, and 101 points. When they scored 122, they knocked down 47.5% of their three-pointers, which is unlikely to happen again, as the Celtics rank 10th in opponent three-point percentage.

I like the Pacers' team total to go under 120.5, as well as the game total to go under 246.5. Jayson Tatum is officially out for Monday's game, which hurts the C's on the offensive end of the court, but with Kristaps Porzingis (eye injury) probable, they should have a significant advantage on the boards. Porzingis and Al Horford are an intimidating presence as rim protectors, as well.