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Detroit still hasn't played to its potential this season, while Seattle has exceeded expectations despite fielding an average offense, as evidenced by the EPA and success rate metrics. With Kenneth Walker III still banged up, I don't anticipate that changing against a Lions defense that's been stout on third down, holding their opponents to a 25 percent success rate, third-best in the NFL. After holding Kyler Murray in check, the secondary will hold its own again versus Geno Smith and his talented receivers.

I expect the Lions to show their pride on Monday night, exposing a beaten-up Seahawks squad with a well-rounded performance at home. Detroit should be able to run the football with ease against the visitors' depleted front and Jared Goff has been money indoors (26-9 ATS indoors). The city is buzzing following the Tigers' postseason berth, which ain't gonna help Seattle's cause, either.

Bet the Lions, 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games as betting favorites, to win and cover on Monday Night Football!