Clarke Schmidt (2.61 ERA in September) will finish the regular season on a high note, outpiching Bailey Falter (4.59 ERA on the road) in the BX. NY's starter keeps the ball in the yard (0.89 HR/9) and has a 26.4% K percentage with a 6.1% barrel percentage. PIT's SP has a 40.1% hard-hit percentage and doesn't generate a lot of swings and misses, with a 16.9% K percentage (6.65 K/9). New York has a more reliable bullpen, too.

The Yankees dropped the first two games versus the Pirates and have lost four of their last five overall straight-up, but they won't leave the home fans with a bitter taste in their mouths before the playoffs. Bet on them to cover on Sunday!