Betting Trend: The Dodgers have covered the run line in 23 of their last 40 games at Dodger Stadium (+9.65 Units / 21% ROI). They covered the run line as home favorites in 40 of 81 regular season games, the second-highest winning percentage in MLB.

LA ripped the momentum from San Diego in stunning fashion, holding the red-hot Padres bats scoreless for the final 24 innings of the NLDS. The bullpen held up, and the bats came through in the clutch, launching five homers in the last two games. I favor Los Angeles to sustain its momentum at home against a Mets squad that has been off for three days, a long time to wait for a team that was red hot. Sometimes extra rest isn't beneficial when a ballclub is raring to go.

Given that Kodai Senga pitched just once in the regular season, he and the unreliable Mets bullpen are fadeable in Game 1. I trust the Dodgers more in this spot and favor the value of a wager on the LA Run Line at +140 odds.