Betting Trend: Favorites are 35-10-1 SU in international games.

I'm backing the Bears in Sunday's London Series game vs. Jacksonville.

Chicago has a nasty defense, leading the league in dropback EPA, and Caleb Williams is growing with every week. The Jags rank 32nd in defensive dropback EPA and 31st in pass rush win rate this season, and they have blitzed on just 6 percent of their plays in the last two weeks. If they do blitz more, Williams will fare just fine. He has completed 17 of his 19 passes for 200 yards, 2 TDs and no turnover-worthy plays against the blitz during Chicago's two-game winning streak. With receivers Keenan Allen and Rome Odunze healthy and the O-line improving (12th in pass block win rate and 9th in run block win rate), I trust Williams and the Bears much more than Trevor Lawrence and Jacksonville.