TEXAS LONGHORNS -3.5
(NCAAF) Bulldogs (UGA) vs. Longhorns (TEX),
Point Spread: -3.50 | -110.00 Longhorns (TEX) (Home)
Result: Loss
The Longhorns have been chomping at the bit for this opportunity, which will help them solidify their case as the top team in the country.

The home team ranks sixth in the country in EPA/Pass, as QB Quinn Ewers has completed 72.2 percent of his passing attempts. He will be ready to rock against a Bulldogs' secondary that was shredded by Alabama QB Jalen Milroe (27-for-33 passing for 374 yards) and ranks 59th in EPA/Pass this season. Part of the problem is that UGA isn't generating pressure up front like it has in the past, which leaves the secondary vulnerable. The Horns also rank 10th nationally in third down conversion percentage (49.3%), so they should be able to move the chains throughout the game.

The Texas defense will create problems for Georgia, too. The Longhorns can affect QB Carson Beck with their pass rush, as Bama did in its dominant first half vs. Georgia. UT ranks 15th in Defensive Havoc (19.0 sacks and 49.0 tackles for loss) and boasts PFF's fourth-best pass-rushing grade. On top of that, it ranks first nationally in explosive plays allowed and in finishing drives allowed.

In short, UT has enough advantages on both sides of the ball to win by at least four points in this SEC clash.