Betting Trend: LA is 7-2 SU in its last nine home games (+6.60 units/40% ROI).

I like Los Angeles to win straight-up on Thursday against a Minnesota team that lost its first game of the season on Sunday in a tiresome, back-and-forth affair versus division rival Detroit. A letdown is in the cards considering the circumstances, as this is just their second road game since September 15, as well.

LA beat Oakland on Sunday and took advantage of its bye the previous week, as it's as healthy as it's been this season. The return of star pass catcher Cooper Kupp boosts the offense, while the Rams' defense has shown marked improvement in recent weeks, ranking third in EPA allowed per play since Week 5 (they ranked 31st in the first four weeks).

Don't take the points — let's go for the extra value on the LA moneyline!