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Betting Trend: The under is 52-39-3 (57%) with Shawn Hochuli as referee.

Kansas City was one of the most profitable under bets this season (13-5) due to its stingy defense and unreliable offense. Even with the injuries to the Bills secondary, I predict a run-focused approach by the Chiefs, leading to longer drives that eat up the game clock. 

The Bills will also look to run the football against a KC defense that was much softer against the run (18th in rushing yards allowed) than the pass (2nd in passing yards allowed). Besides, Buffalo has been much more of a run-focused team down the stretch, as it handed off on almost 51 percent of its snaps in the past three games. That's clear as day when you consider that the NFL player props market has Allen's passing touchdowns set at 1.5 TDs.

Sunday's game is not expected to be played in the snow, but forecasts project a "feels-like" temperature as low as six degrees and sustained winds of 13 mph with gusts of up to 22 mph. Those conditions should work in the under's favor, as well.