Minnesota's blitz-happy defense under DC Brian Flores ( 37% blitz rate and 29% pressure rate) will cause problems for Cards QB Kyler Murray, shutting him down similarly to how Seattle handled him last week. The Cardinals' offensive line struggled against the Seahawks front and will be in for an even bigger challenge this week. Seattle (14th in rush defense DVOA) held RB James Conner in check, too. That's a cause for concern against Minny (1st in rush defense DVOA).

I trust the Vikings more than Arizona and believe they'll win and cover on Sunday in Minneapolis, preventing Detroit and Green Bay from separating more in the standings.