KC has been awful ATS lately, failing to separate against most teams. Before last Sunday's win, they had dropped seven straight ATS. That includes four straight home losses. The Chiefs have won three consecutive home games by exactly two points. Between those wins, they lost and won by three as 11-point favorites. Overall, this team is 2-5-0 ATS at home. The Texans have a better turnover differential and an offense with a matching scoring average to Kansas City. They will be in this game from start to finish and have a great shot at winning it. Take them to at least beat the spread.