ASA PLAY 8* ON Miami +3 over Jacksonville, Thursday at 8:20 PM ET - The Jags have quickly become a public team over the first few weeks with their win over Indy as a 7-point dog and their performance last week @ Tennessee, a 3-point loss. Over 70% of the tickets have come in on Jacksonville here pushing this number from it’s opener, which was pick-em, all they way to -3. Now the value is on Miami in our opinion. The Jaguars have gone from a 7 point dog in week 1 and a 8.5 point dog in week to now to a 3-point favorite. We realize they aren’t playing the Colts or Titans here, but that is still a big swing against a Miami team that showed some life last week losing by just 3 to the surging Bills. They put up over 400 yards on one of the top defensive teams in the NFL so their offense definitely should be able to keep them in this game vs a Jacksonville defense that allowed 33 points last week to a Titan team that put up just 16 points in week 1 @ Denver. Also, in Jacksonville’s win this year vs the Colts, the were outgained by over 200 yards so that was a very misleading win in our opinion. Jax is just 13-24 ATS as a home favorite dating back to 2008 and we simply do not trust them laying a FG here as many suspected this would be one of the worst teams in the league entering the season including us. We’re not going to overreact and change that view after just 2 weeks. Miami + the points for us.