#273 ASA PLAY ON 8* Baltimore -7 over New England, Sunday at 8:20 PM ET - New England has fallen more than we ever thought they would. The loss of Tom Brady along with a league high 8 corona virus opt outs this year, many key contributors, have sent this team toward the bottom of the AFC. 2 of their 3 wins came early in the season but as of late this team has lost 4 of their last 5 with their only win coming on a last second FG vs the hapless Jets. That was on Monday night of this week so the Pats are working on a short week. In that game, New England ran a whopping 34 more offensive plays compared to the Jets and it still took a FG as time expired to win. They were outgained on a YPP basis vs the Jets and fairly handily 7.3 to 5.7. The Patriot defense allowed a Jet offense that ranks dead last in the NFL averaging 4.5 YPP to roll up their best numbers of the year at over 7.0 YPP. And that was with back up QB Flacco at the helm for NY. The offense was sputtering before facing the Jets last week scoring 10, 12, 18 and 21 points their previous 4 games. Now they face one of the top defensive units in the NFL and we don’t expect them to do much on Sunday night. If Baltimore can run the ball their offense is very good. They lead the NFL in rushing and they face a Patriot defense that is 25th at stopping the run. If the Jets can score 27 points on 7.3 YPP vs New England, imagine what Baltimore will do. Baltimore has won 4 of their last 5 with their only loss during that stretch coming vs Pittsburgh and the Ravens ran for 265 yards in that game vs the #1 rush defense in the league at the time. The Ravens beat this Patriots team by 17 points last year w/Tom Brady and we see no reason they don’t run away with this one. They have plenty of motivation sitting 2 games behind Pittsburgh in the AFC East. Lay it.