#412 ASA PLAY ON 8* Auburn Tigers (+) over Texas A & M Aggies, Saturday at 12:00 PM ET - First off this is an interesting line in this game. The Aggies are a highly-ranked team and opened up as low as a 4-point choice even though they are facing an unranked foe. Sure enough, as we expected, the betting markets jumped on Texas A & M and drove the line up to as high as a -7 before it settled in at a -6.5 as of Friday afternoon. We're happy to grab the additional line value here with the home dog Tigers as this one sets up very nicely. Auburn is 4-0 SU at home this season and enter this game off a road loss which was to be expected as they faced mighty Alabama last week. The Tigers are already 2-0 SU this season when off a loss and have covered 3 of their 4 home games on the year. Aggies QB Kellen Mond is coming off a very rough start (11 of 34 for just 105 yards) and that was against an LSU defense that has struggled this season. Now Mond faces a Tigers team that has allowed 17 points or less in 3 of its 4 home games this season. Taking a look at the offensive production in this one, Auburn has scored an average of 34.3 points per game at home this season. The Aggies had a blowout win in their most recent road game but that was against a bad South Carolina team. In their other two road games Texas A & M averaged only 26 points per game. The Aggies are off back to back big wins but against South Carolina and LSU (combined 5-11 record) and now face an Auburn team with a much better defense than those teams. The Tigers, on the other hand, just faced the toughest team in the nation and will respond after the 29-point loss to Alabama. The Aggies do have revenge here against Auburn but that is part of what is driving this line movement and revenge is often over-played. Per our computer math modeling, the line move will prove to be wrong in this one and the underdog offers solid line value here. This one has the makings of a home dog upset and we're grabbing the points with Auburn.