ASA Free Play Saturday NBA
(NBA) Oklahoma City vs. Golden State,
Total: 224.00 | -104.00 Under
Result: Loss
ASA Free Play: UNDER 224 Oklahoma City vs Golden State Warriors - The Warriors have a HUGE game on deck vs. Utah and they just beat Thunder by 21 on Thursday so how enthused are they to put up a ton of points here? In the previous game the Warriors shot 49% overall, made 19 of 47 3’s or 40%. OKC shot below their season average or 41% for the game and were 23% from beyond the arc. We see this game trending back to the “norm” both teams. OKC shoots 44% on the season and 34% from beyond the arc. Those percentages ranked them bottom 3 of the NBA in both categories which ties into the Under. If the Warriors have an “average” shooting night by their standards, with the same pace, 88 field goal attempts, that would mean they make 5 less 3-pointers (average 14 makes per game) and shoot their season average overall of 46.6%. Our math model is projecting 110-points for GS. The Warriors are 5th in defensive efficiency 1.10PPP. Considering their overall record, the Thunder have solid defensive efficiency numbers of 1.135PPP which is better than teams like the Hawks, Nets and Blazers. The Under is 14-4 LAST 14 Thunder road games, while the Warriors have played in 4 straight Unders and 8 of their last ten. The Under is 14-2 the L16 meetings in GST, 20-6 the last 26 meetings overall.