#923/924 ASA top play on 10* OVER 8 Texas Rangers @ Oakland A's, 3:37 PM ET - This play is all about the value. Yesterday's match-up featured two starting pitchers in great current form and yet the total was also 8 just like this one. It stayed under the total easily but now today you have Dane Dunning getting the start for the Rangers. He is 0-4 in his 7 road starts this season with a 7.45 ERA. In 13 innings over his last 3 starts (2 of which were at home where he is normally better) Dunning has allowed 22 hits plus walked 6. Dunning is lucky his ERA has not been even higher than the 6.23 ERA he has over those last 3 starts. His current form is very poor and now he faces an Oakland team that has scored an average of 6 runs per game in winning 3 of last 4 against the Rangers. Texas also should enjoy some success at the plate in this one. Prior to being held to just 1 run in yesterday's game the Rangers had scored an average of 6 runs per game in winning 6 of 8 games. So the Texas bats have been better recently and though Oakland's Sean Manaea has some solid numbers again this season, he has given up 18 hits in his last 14 innings over his last 3 starts against the Rangers. Also, in his most recent home start this season, Manaea allowed 9 hits in less than 6 innings. Texas has a .433 slugging percentage against lefties the last 15 days and .447 slugging percentage versus southpaws the last 7 days. Both are very solid figures and the Rangers may surprise some with success against Manaea here while Dunning and a sub-par Texas bullpen should get pounded here. That being said, plenty of runs are likely in this one given all of these key factors. This total is in the 8 range but our computer math model shows this one getting into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and, at a minimum having a very strong shot of getting to at least 4 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 9 runs (5-4 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet Over