#242 ASA PLAY ON 8* Indianapolis -10 over Jacksonville, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Colts are much better than their 4-5 record and they are playing their best ball right now. Let’s not forget this was a playoff team last season. This team started 2021 losing 3 straight games and have since won 4 of their last 6. Their only losses during that 6 game run were vs two of the top teams on the AFC, Baltimore & Tennessee. They could easily be on a 6-0 run right now as they led Baltimore by 16 points in the 4th quarter and lost in OT and led Tennessee by 14 points and lost in OT. The offense has scored at least 30 points in 4 consecutive games and they are averaging 34.2 PPG during that stretch. QB Wentz is playing very well with 14 TD’s and 2 picks over his last 6 and RB Taylor has turned into one of the best in the NFL. Jags are coming off a 9-6 home win vs Buffalo and a letdown on the road is in order here. The Bills were favored by 14.5 on the road in that game and now we’re getting Indy at -10 at home. Five of Jacksonville’s six losses have come by double digits with their average loss coming by 14 points. Just a week before upsetting the Bills at home, this team lost 31-7 @ Seattle with Geno Smith at QB for the Seahawks. The Jags really struggle to score points ranking 31st in the NFL putting up only 16.5 PPG. They score points on just 24% of their offensive possessions which is 31st ahead of only the Texans. Indy’s defense ranks 2nd in the NFL DVOA vs the rush which means in order for Jacksonville to stay in this game rookie QB Lawrence will have to play fantastic. We don’t see that happening. He ranks near the bottom of QB’s in completion % (30th) and has more interceptions than TD’s thrown. This game is eerily similar to the Colts most recent game. They were 10 points favorites at home vs the Jets who were just coming off a huge upset vs the Bengals. Indy won by 15 but they were in total control leading 42-10 late in the 3rd quarter. We see a similar result here. That game was on Thursday so extra time to rest & prepare for Indianapolis as well. Last year Indy was -15.5 at home vs Jacksonville (won by 14) and now we’re getting them at -10. Lay the points.