#318 ASA FREE PLAY ON Pittsburgh -1 over Tennessee, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - **This line opened with Pitt +2.5 and now they are a small favorite** Tennessee is vastly overrated right now. They are 8-5 on the season yet rank 20th in YPP margin at -0.3. Despite their 8 wins, this Titan team has losses vs both Houston and the NY Jets, two of the worst teams in the league and have played the 29th SOS so far this season. Last week they beat Jacksonville, another bottom 5 team, but only gained 3.8 YPP and benefitted from 4 Jaguar turnovers. Since RB Derrick Henry went out with an injury, Tennessee has average just 4.6 YPP over their last 5 games. While the Titans have played one of the easiest schedules in the NFL, the Steelers have played the 6th most difficult including facing the Chargers, Bengals, Ravens and Packers in their last 4 games. We were impressed with Pittsburgh’s fight last week @ Minnesota getting down 29-0 but fighting back to make a game of it losing by 8. That game was on Thursday so Pitt has had 10 days to get ready for this absolute must win game at home. The Steelers have won 5 straight at home and as a home dog they are a money making 10-2 ATS since the start of the 2017 season (Steelers are small favorite now but opened as a dog). Pitt is 4 spots out of the AFC playoff picture right now and a loss here would be devastating. We expect them to play well and get the win on Sunday.