#463 ASA FREE PLAY PLAY ON Detroit +6.5 over Atlanta, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Falcons shouldn’t be favored by nearly a TD over anyone. They currently rank dead last in the NFL in Football Outsiders DVOA which is 3 spots BELOW this Detroit team. The Lions are playing much better winning 2 of their last 3 games, with both wins coming vs solid competition (Arizona & Minnesota). The Falcons have 6 wins on the season and all 6 have come by 8 points or less. They don’t beat teams badly no matter what the competition. Detroit has been much more competitive the 2nd half of the season with 6 of their last 8 games being 1 score games with under 1:00 minute to play. Four of their last five road games have been tight losing by margins of 2, 3, tied @ Pitt, and 9 points @ LA Rams in a game the Lions led in the 4th quarter. Despite only 2 wins for Detroit and 6 wins for Atlanta, the Lions have a better point differential on the season. If the Falcons do with this game, which we’re not convinced they will, it should be very close.