#769/770 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 131.5 Points – Georgia Southern vs Georgia State, Thursday at 7 PM ET - Georgia State’s defense has been locked in to say the least. They rank #1 in defensive efficiency in the Sun Belt allowing a paltry 0.92 points per possession. In their last 2 games they have allowed a TOTAL of 99 points vs App State (49) and Coastal Carolina (50). The game prior to that they gave up just 62 points to South Alabama who is the #1 offense in the conference in both efficiency and eFG%. Going back further, the Panthers have allowed only one of their last 8 opponents to reach 70 points. Now they face a Georgia Southern offense that ranks dead last in the Sun Belt in offensive efficiency. The Eagles have been held under 60 points in 4 of their last 6 games (in regulation) and in the other 2 contests they scored 61 & 65 points. They have gotten to 70 points just ONCE (in regulation) in their 12 conference games. Defensively Georgia Southern is solid allowing just 1.00 PPP in Sun Belt games. Georgia State offensive is very poor as well ranking 10th in offensive efficiency and 12th (out of 12) in eFG%. These 2 teams are the WORST 3 point shooting teams in the conference ranking 11th & 12th with both hitting just 25% of their attempts from deep. Because of that, neither team take many 3’s (10th and 12th in the Sun Belt in % of points scored from 3) so this game will be played inside the arc. The Georgia State defense ranks #1 in the conference allowing opponents to make only 41% of their 2 point shots and Georgia Southern allows just 48% inside the arc. Both defenses make it very tough on teams to get good shots which is extends to longer possessions and eats clock. Ga State opponents attempt a shot every 18.2 seconds (321st in the nation) and Ga Southern’s opponents every 18.1 seconds (303rd). The projected score for this game is 70-61 with Ga State sitting as a 9 point favorite and the total at 130.5. Our numbers don’t have Georgia State getting past the mid 60’s and we don’t have Georgia Southern getting out of the 50’s. UNDER is the play here.