ASA top play on 10* OVER 226.5 Miami Heat @ Charlotte Hornets, 7:10 PM ET - Let’s start with the baseline O/U numbers in the NBA. The league average currently in the NBA is 218.2PPG but in the last three weeks games have trended up to 221PPG. The Over is 84-66 in the last three weeks of the NBA season. The Hornets games have finished with the highest average points per game this season at 228.4PPG. The Heat are the best Over team this season with nearly 63% of their games going Over the number. The Hornets play at a break-neck speed with the fastest paced offense in the NBA at 100.8 possessions per game. They also rank 11th in offensive efficiency in large part because they average 16.1PPG via the fast break which is 2nd in the league. What Charlotte doesn’t do well is defend with the 24th ranked defensive efficiency. They also rank 22nd in 3-point percentage defense which doesn’t bode well versus the Heat who are 3rd in the NBA in 3-point percentage offense at 37.5%. The Heat are 7th in offensive efficiency this season and are a top ranked DEFF team but they do have one weakness defensively. Miami is ‘average’ in defending the 3-point line and Charlotte is 9th in 3-point shooting. Miami is also 14th or near average in the NBA is points allowed off the break. These two recently stayed Under the total with 190 points but both teams had poor shooting nights and the Hornets managed just 8-points in the 3rd quarter. Expect a revert back to normal for both teams and a higher scoring game.