#12 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Toronto Maple Leafs -120 on the Money Line over Vegas Golden Knights, Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET - This is a great early season set-up filled with value. The Golden Knights are off to a great start this season but that has them over-valued here. Vegas has played a favorable early season schedule with 8 of 13 match-ups against non-playoff teams from last season. The Golden Knights have only 2 losses on the season but of their 5 games against playoff teams one was a win over these Maple Leafs and then the 2 losses came in the other 4 games. The point is that Vegas has not been so "lights out" against playoff teams from last season. The Golden Knights did beat the Leafs in Vegas however and that makes this a revenge game. We love this spot for Toronto to exact revenge. The Knights are on a long road trip and though they have been winning, the past two victories came despite allowing 4 goals in each game! That is not happening against Toronto. The Maple Leafs have been quite stingy this season so if they get to 4 goals scored they are likely winning this game handily. Toronto has won 5 of 6 home games this season and allowed 2 or less goals in all 5 victories! The surprise with Vegas this season is they have been getting better goaltending than expected. However, both Thompson and Hill are limited in NHL career experience and they each have allowed 4 goals in their most recent start on this road trip. That is why, no matter who is in goal for Vegas tonight, we like the home team to get the big win as they have been allowing a lot fewer goals than Toronto teams in the recent past. Lay it! We think we’re getting some nice value getting this revenge-minded home team at a great price of just -120 in this one with the Leafs as it is the perfect set-up for a home win.