AFC Total of the Week NFL 10*
(NFL) Cleveland vs. Miami,
Total: 49.00 | -107.00 Over
Result: Win
#251/252 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 49 Points – Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - Two of the better offenses in the NFL facing off here with the Browns ranking 4th and the Dolphins 5th in total offense. Football Outsiders DVOA ranks these 2 offenses 2nd (Miami) and 5th (Cleveland) while they have the defenses ranked 24th and 27th. Cleveland is coming off a bye following their 32 points output vs a very good Cincinnati defense. We expect them to have a great offensive gameplan with 2 weeks to get ready and they are facing a Miami defense that has allowed at least 24 points in 5 of their last 6 games. The Fins are allowing opponents to score an average of 2.2 points per drive which is 26th in the NFL. The Miami offense is humming with Tua back under center. They are averaging 24 PPG on the season, however in games that Tua starts and completes the Fins are putting up 29 PPG. The Browns defense has decent (middle of the pack) overall numbers however they’ve faced the 25th best schedule of offenses thus far. They’ve allowed at least 23 points in 6 of their 8 games and 30+ points in 3 games. Miami will be the highest rated offense Cleveland has faced this year. They’ve faced only 1 other team ranked inside the top 10 in total offense and that was the Chargers who put up 30 on this defense. Cleveland is allowed 2.21 points per drive which is 27th in the NFL. The weather looks perfect for scoring in Miami on Sunday with temps in the 80’s and light winds at 5 MPH. The implied final score based on this total is right around Miami 26, Cleveland 23. We expect both to top those numbers. Over in this one.