ASA top play on 10* UNDER 45 Cincinnati Bengals at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 4:25 PM ET - The Cris opener on this game was 41.5 which was quickly bet up to the current number of 45. We will grab the added value and play Under here. NFL games this season have averaged 44 total points per game and we can’t see this game being ‘average’. The Bucs offense has been dreadful to say the least this season averaging just 5.4 Yards Per Play and 17.2PPG (28th). On average it takes the Bucks 19.7 yards gained to score 1-points and that’s barely better than the Colts and Broncos. It won’t get any easier today against a Bengals defense allowing just 5.5 Yards Per Play, 16.2 Yards Per Point (11th) and 5.4 Yards Per Play. Cincinnati is slightly over-rated offensively as a result of playing some soft defenses. In 8 of their last ten games, they have faced defenses ranked 15th or worse in the league in overall defensive DVOA. The one comparable defense to Tampa’s the Bengals has faced this season is the Ravens and they managed just 17 points in that game. The Bucs own the 11th best DVOA defense, give up just 320YPG, are 6th versus the pass and 9th in points allowed per game. Tampa will want to play fast, but the Bengals prefer to play slow. The Bengals are 13-4-1 Under in their last 18 games overall. Tampa Bay is on an 11-2 Under streak when coming off a loss.