#421 ASA PLAY ON Kansas State +2.5 at Iowa State, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - This is one of the best rivalries in all of college football and we expect Kansas State to upset the Cyclones on their home field in this Big 12 showdown. The Wildcats have the better overall differential at +0.9 Yards Per Play compared to Iowa State’s +0.6YPP, yet have played the much tougher overall schedule. We have maintained all season long that the Cyclones were over-rated and this is a great opportunity to step in with a bet against them. Kansas State has a huge rushing advantage in this game with an offense that averages over 209 rushing yards per game at an incredible 6.0 Yards per rush. Iowa State is vulnerable to strong rushing attacks as they allow over 176 rushing yards per game and a 5.1 yards per carry average which ranks 112th. The Wildcats are solid in all phases of the game defensively as they give up just 340YPG on the season (40th), 5.3YPP (50th) and 3.4 yards per rush (20th). Last season when these two teams met, Kansas State outplayed Iowa State with 22 more first downs, more total yards and a +24 minute TOP advantage but the Cyclones hit 5 touchdown plays of 60+ yards in their upset win. The dog has been the play in this series with an 80% cover rate going back 10 full seasons. The Wildcats pull the upset and get this road win.