#461 ASA PLAY ON Tennessee Titans +6.5 over Washington Commanders, Sunday at 1 PM ET - The Commanders got off to a red hot start winning 7 of their first 9 games but have hit a wall losing 3 straight. In hindsight, while they were winning, it maybe wasn’t as impressive as first thought with 6 of their 7 wins coming against teams that are currently below .500. Their one win over a decent team was vs Arizona (6-5 record) but their other 6 wins have come vs teams with a combined record of 18-51! It could be argued that today’s opponent, the Tennessee Titans, also fall into that “bad team” category. However, we like the way the Titans are playing solid right now winning 2 of their last 4 games including a win last week @ Houston and they outgained the Texans by more than 100 yards. Even in their 2 losses over the last month, vs Minnesota & LA Chargers (both playoff teams), Tennessee outgained both (YPP) but fell short. They have actually outgained their last 5 straight opponents (YPP) and despite their 3-8 record, they have a +0.1 YPP margin which is the same as the Chiefs & Chargers and better than the Steelers, Rams, and Dolphins to name a few. QB Levis has played much better with 3 of his top 4 QBR games coming the last month. The Titans defense remains very good ranking #2 in total defense, #3 in YPP allowed, and #2 in 3rd down defense. We think Washington’s offense, which has been heading downhill, struggles in this game. The Commanders are averaging 5.9 YPP on the season but only 4.9 YPP over their last 3 games including a loss at home vs a poor Dallas team last week as a 10 point favorite. Washington hasn’t covered a game in a month and we think Tennessee has a solid shot at the upset here. Take the points.