West Conf Total of the Month NBA
(NBA) Lakers (LAL) vs. Timberwolves (MIN),
Total: 219.00 | -108.00 Over
Result: Loss
ASA NBA play on OVER 219 LA Lakers @ Minnesota Timberwolves, 8 PM ET - The Lakers are in a tough scheduling situation here playing the 2nd night of a back-to-back and 4th game in 6 days. Minnesota has been at home and should be rested with their last game being played on Nov 29th. This O/U opened 225.5 and has moved down significantly, which means we will step in and grab the value with an Over wager. Minnesota recently played the Kings at home and that game finished with 219 total points. The Kings are better defensively than the Lakers but worse offensively and the two teams play at the same pace. The Wolves are coming off a very low scoring game against the Clippers who are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and play slow. We expect the Wolves to push the pace here against the Lakers coming off a game last night. L.A. is 7th in offensive efficiency this season at 1.162-points per possession. Minnesota is 17th in OEFF or near league average. Minnesota has gone from being the best defense in the NBA a year ago to ranking 10th in DEFF currently this season. The Lakers are near the bottom of the league in Defensive Efficiency allowing 1.173PPP. The Lakers are 12-5-1 to the Over when playing without rest, the Wolves tend to play Over against other Western Conference teams. NBA games are averaging nearly 226ppg so we just need this game to be average for a winning ticket.